The global shrimp market in week 42 of October 2025 is showing unprecedented price divergence. While Indonesia’s shrimp exports have been hit hard by new U.S. import regulations, large-sized Vannamei shrimp from Ecuador, Vietnam, and China are gaining value due to persistent supply shortages and adverse farming conditions.
Indonesia Shrimp Prices Collapse After Regulatory Crisis
Shrimp prices in Indonesia fell sharply by 7–14%, nearly freezing local supply chains. The drop followed the U.S. FDA’s strict radioactivity certification requirement for shrimp imports from specific Indonesian regions. This new rule, introduced in late August 2025, disrupted export channels, reduced packaging demand, and triggered a market-wide selloff.
Large-Sized Shrimp Prices Surge in Ecuador, Vietnam, and China
In contrast, large-sized shrimp (20/30 and 30/40 pieces/kg) from Ecuador and Vietnam continued to strengthen. Limited global supply, disease outbreaks, rising fuel costs, and unfavorable weather have restricted production, pushing prices upward. Ecuador’s exports to China remained stable thanks to restocking demand, though colder weather slowed fishing activities and raised concerns over future yields.
India Faces Oversupply; Medium Sizes Weaken
In India, the arrival of the second shrimp crop brought moderate oversupply. Prices for medium-sized Vannamei (50–80 shrimp/kg) fell amid weaker domestic and export demand. However, the U.S. market’s steady demand for Indian peeled shrimp prevented a more dramatic decline.
China’s Market Cools but Typhoon Damage Limits Supply
After the Chinese National Day Golden Week, shrimp demand cooled quickly, leading to a price correction from early-October highs. Yet, typhoon damage to greenhouse aquaculture in southern China constrained local supply, keeping prices for large shrimp supported.
Vietnam and Thailand Remain Relatively Stable
Vietnam’s shrimp prices stayed firm and higher than those in other producing nations, driven by strong demand for large-sized shrimp. Thailand, meanwhile, saw only a mild price adjustment as production and export volumes remained balanced.
Key Takeaway
The global Vannamei shrimp market is undergoing a major price realignment by size and origin. Regulatory shocks, climate events, and disease pressures are reshaping trade flows and highlighting the market’s high sensitivity to external risks.
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